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'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm}

Posted by: CSBD on Dec 27, 18:31 in response to benz0's post Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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God's Country (GDSCN) 20000 2.40 (0.00)          Toni Collette (TCOLL) 25000 28.50 (0.00)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 129.35 (-0.33)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 20000 1.75 (-0.02)          Donnie Yen (DYEN) 25000 32.64 (0.00)          The Toxic Avenger (TOXAV) 150000 13.50 (+0.05)          The Toxic Avenger (TOXAV) 150000 13.50 (+0.05)          Friendship (FNSHP) 50000 9.68 (+0.07)          Friday Night Lights (FRIN2) 20000 0.30 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 74000 35.45 (+0.83)          Fever (PEGLE) 20000 0.50 (0.00)          The Alto Knights (WISEG) 50000 7.86 (-0.95)          Tangled (TANGL) 107000 100.00 (0.00)          Exorcist Film Directed by Mike F (TEXO2) 50000 32.72 (-0.09)          Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 8.81 (-0.73)          Every Note Played (EVNTP) 20000 0.63 (+0.02)          Clayface (CLAYF) 50000 61.62 (+0.19)          Emmanuelle (EMANU) 20000 0.88 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.39 (+1.52)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.39 (+1.52)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 15.42 (+0.10)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 11.02 (+1.05)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.39 (+1.52)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.39 (+1.52)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.39 (+1.52)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 23.30 (-0.04)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.39 (+1.52)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 40.26 (-0.15)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.39 (+1.52)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 41583 167.52 (-7.12)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 25000 170.92 (+0.13)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 85.00 (-0.84)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 150000 0.11 (+0.01)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 149999 37.38 (-0.06)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 20000 126.94 (-0.43)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 20000 0.20 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Daniela Forever (DANFV) 20000 0.44 (0.00)          Jacob Marley (MRLEY) 150000 3.44 (-0.02)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 45.02 (-0.10)          Hercules (HRCUL) 149999 26.20 (0.00)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 60000 69.80 (-1.05)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 20000 20.50 (-0.72)          Freakier Friday (FREK2) 150000 90.91 (-1.51)          Freakier Friday (FREK2) 150000 90.91 (-1.51)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 150000 0.11 (+0.01)