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'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm}

Posted by: CSBD on Dec 27, 18:31 in response to benz0's post Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100 18.60 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 9000 64.53 (-1.86)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 20000 174.15 (+0.10)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100 24.52 (-0.84)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.97 (+0.54)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.49 (-0.29)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.60 (-0.94)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 5 122.25 (+0.28)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 3029 61.18 (-0.05)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (TSBDM) 5000 0.89 (-0.03)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.90 (-0.59)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.13 (-1.41)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 4000 1.89 (-0.07)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.87 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.72 (-0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 117.74 (-4.09)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5 260.90 (+2.77)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.71 (+1.02)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 149998 6.80 (+0.81)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 5 167.55 (-0.10)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.71 (+1.02)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 5000 33.62 (-0.06)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 5000 221.51 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 59449 117.74 (-4.09)          Christine (CRSTN) 149998 17.71 (+1.02)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.71 (+1.02)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 50000 17.38 (+0.02)          Christine (CRSTN) 149996 17.71 (+1.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149998 41.70 (-5.42)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149996 41.70 (-5.42)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 50000 17.38 (+0.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.70 (-5.42)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.13 (-1.41)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 149999 235.74 (+0.49)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.61 (-2.61)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 5000 64.93 (+0.53)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 57000 253.63 (-0.72)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 26.58 (+0.24)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 50000 25.27 (+0.35)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 26.58 (+0.24)          FOX: Best Medicine (BESMED) 25000 8.67 (+0.10)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 447.49 (-1.20)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 50000 25.27 (+0.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 149999 64.53 (-1.86)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.87 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.72 (-0.58)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 149999 13.72 (+0.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.60 (-0.94)