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Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 15:13 in response to MattW's post I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

The first three days will be close to $35m, and New Year Eve hold will be better than Christmas Eve.

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Airman (AIRMA) 26000 23.51 (-0.56)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 344 41.76 (-0.45)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 99999 18.47 (-1.07)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.47 (-1.07)          Airman (AIRMA) 26000 23.51 (-0.56)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 4999 446.11 (-2.58)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 45000 7.13 (+0.53)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.58 (-1.81)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 12000 16.55 (+0.08)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 12000 22.23 (+0.01)          Timur Bekmambetov (TBEKM) 25000 48.06 (-0.16)          Ma 2 (MA2) 23000 18.12 (-0.16)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 12723 127.26 (-2.46)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 127.26 (-2.46)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 103828 127.26 (-2.46)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149999 25.19 (+0.22)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 62.47 (+1.85)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 62.47 (+1.85)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 1 15.05 (-0.18)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 1331 13.32 (-0.38)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 446.11 (-2.58)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 91.64 (+0.75)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 100000 72.00 (-1.44)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 116.34 (+1.34)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 116.34 (+1.34)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 1380 13.32 (-0.38)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.97 (+0.54)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.27 (-0.09)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.88 (+0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.91 (+0.17)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.57 (-0.79)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.88 (+0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Kate Mara (KMARA) 100 10.01 (+0.10)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Robert Eggers (REGGE) 25000 38.92 (+0.12)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Ma 2 (MA2) 24000 18.12 (-0.16)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)