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Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 15:13 in response to MattW's post I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

The first three days will be close to $35m, and New Year Eve hold will be better than Christmas Eve.

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 2.90 (-1.66)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 97.80 (-1.19)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 3000 25.95 (-0.16)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 3000 246.28 (+0.02)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 5000 78.39 (0.00)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 2 73.48 (+0.01)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 37500 47.28 (-0.43)          Gatto (GATTO) 5000 148.42 (-0.39)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 3000 148.90 (-0.10)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 3000 293.11 (-0.22)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 54.08 (-0.52)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 5000 61.55 (-0.35)          Breeder (BREDR) 1921 1.86 (0.00)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 2.90 (-1.66)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 5000 100.00 (0.00)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 3000 19.69 (-0.03)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 12.75 (-0.10)          Not Alone (NTALN) 3000 131.20 (-0.10)          Donkey (DONKE) 601 159.33 (+0.26)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 3000 14.90 (-0.10)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 3000 37.04 (+0.10)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 24041 5.68 (+2.09)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 3000 206.99 (-0.46)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 9600 11.32 (-0.22)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 35 278.64 (+0.27)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 3000 164.74 (+0.03)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 150000 51.28 (-0.19)          Donkey (DONKE) 1500 159.33 (+0.26)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.68 (+2.09)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 3000 167.46 (-0.21)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 4000 11.32 (-0.22)          Possession (PSESN) 3000 43.87 (+0.05)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 22.76 (+0.12)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 10000 54.08 (-0.52)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 20.79 (+0.55)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 38189 100.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 14000 54.08 (-0.52)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 25000 35.15 (+0.15)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 12989 3.92 (-0.06)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 13574 100.00 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 5013 3.92 (-0.06)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 8000 577.88 (-0.51)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 4000 9.84 (+0.18)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 16.70 (-0.03)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 150000 15.44 (+0.02)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 28332 100.00 (0.00)