HSX Forum

Movies

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

Posted by: MattW (a.k.a del_RGV_MattW) on Dec 27, 13:31 in response to Filmstardust's post I'm thinking delist would go around 830M.

Weekdays this week about 90m (25,25,25,15)

3rd weekend ~100m

3rd set of weekdays 25m (about 6m each day)

4th weekend ~50m

But this week's Mon-Th could surprise in either direction pushing it just under 800

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 140000 448.85 (-0.87)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 289.53 (-1.01)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 24.73 (-0.07)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 8.66 (-0.55)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 8.66 (-0.55)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 1.34 (+0.04)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 25.51 (+0.10)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.92 (+0.04)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 2.90 (+0.04)          David (DAVID) 150000 75.99 (-0.98)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 10000 43.30 (+3.30)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 1 4.44 (+0.93)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 30000 4.44 (+0.93)          Christine (CRSTN) 20000 16.47 (-0.65)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.99 (+0.34)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.99 (+0.34)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.99 (+0.34)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 40000 11.56 (+0.03)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 27500 531.41 (+0.43)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.99 (+0.34)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 40000 5.07 (+1.38)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 43934 123.14 (-0.67)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 98000 5.07 (+1.38)          Focker In-Law aka Meet the Paren (MPRN4) 40000 97.56 (+0.04)          Focker In-Law aka Meet the Paren (MPRN4) 25000 97.56 (+0.04)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 24000 15.39 (+1.67)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 20000 4.44 (+0.93)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.30 (+3.30)          Hokum (HOKUM) 10000 8.66 (-0.55)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 16.47 (-0.65)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 1.95 (-0.05)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.30 (+3.30)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 2000 473.68 (-0.11)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 1.95 (-0.05)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 473.68 (-0.11)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 10000 167.76 (+0.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 21000 448.85 (-0.87)          Christine (CRSTN) 20000 16.47 (-0.65)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 16.47 (-0.65)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 30000 4.44 (+0.93)          Peter Jackson (PJACK) 100 160.85 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 10 208.33 (-0.35)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 89.99 (-0.89)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 100 448.85 (-0.87)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 3.94 (-0.02)          Wicker (WCKER) 149998 3.94 (-0.02)          Nick Jonas (NJONA) 100 77.84 (-0.50)          Benny Safdie (BSAFD) 10 78.17 (-0.50)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 25000 43.30 (+3.30)          Alexandra Shipp (ASHIP) 100 72.46 (+0.25)