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I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

Posted by: MattW (a.k.a del_RGV_MattW) on Dec 27, 13:31 in response to Filmstardust's post I'm thinking delist would go around 830M.

Weekdays this week about 90m (25,25,25,15)

3rd weekend ~100m

3rd set of weekdays 25m (about 6m each day)

4th weekend ~50m

But this week's Mon-Th could surprise in either direction pushing it just under 800

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 12.94 (-3.25)          Hugh Jackman (HJACK) 25000 71.07 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 1.57 (+0.03)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 4.38 (-0.04)          A Long Winter (ALWNT) 150000 2.54 (+0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 1000 14.39 (-2.00)          Jodie Comer (JCOME) 25000 47.92 (-0.83)          Hugh Jackman (HJACK) 25000 71.07 (0.00)          Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 1.33 (+0.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 852 422.50 (+7.48)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 20.33 (+0.02)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 2.24 (-0.01)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.42 (+1.03)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 7.98 (+0.05)          Ally (ALLY) 150000 19.29 (-0.03)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 82.07 (-0.34)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 3000 303.50 (-1.51)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          High Side (HISID) 25000 25.94 (+0.12)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 15000 67.29 (-0.15)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.54 (+0.06)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 4.66 (+0.01)          & Sons (ASONS) 150000 1.39 (0.00)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 11.90 (-0.14)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 149999 1.09 (-0.01)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 100000 59.51 (+0.11)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 149999 1.09 (-0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 30.33 (-0.03)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 57.93 (+0.17)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 34.34 (+0.22)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 1.42 (0.00)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 25.57 (-0.12)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 303.50 (-1.51)          7 Dogs (7DOGS) 150000 0.87 (+0.02)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Get Out (BEARC) 150000 4.18 (-0.24)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 36.49 (+0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 40000 20.00 (0.00)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 5.93 (-0.11)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 55.19 (+0.28)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 35.72 (-0.03)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 289 20.55 (+0.03)