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I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's

Posted by: MattW (a.k.a del_RGV_MattW) on Dec 27, 13:31 in response to Filmstardust's post I'm thinking delist would go around 830M.

Weekdays this week about 90m (25,25,25,15)

3rd weekend ~100m

3rd set of weekdays 25m (about 6m each day)

4th weekend ~50m

But this week's Mon-Th could surprise in either direction pushing it just under 800

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 15000 20.20 (-0.32)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.20 (-0.32)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 4 80.08 (+0.18)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 123894 632.16 (+15.31)          The Uprising (THOOD) 60000 9.61 (+0.13)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 4 169.21 (+0.55)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 4 249.48 (+0.84)          Everytime (EVRTM) 150000 0.25 (-0.01)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 4 32.25 (-0.07)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 4 66.19 (+0.15)          Conception (CNCPT) 150000 0.26 (+0.02)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 10 78.00 (+0.68)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 150000 0.18 (+0.01)          Riley Keough (RKEOU) 25000 2.24 (-0.07)          The Flood (FLOOD) 5 90.68 (+0.33)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 7 36.42 (+0.16)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 49999 7.24 (+0.29)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 20 126.10 (+2.38)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 80000 126.10 (+2.38)          Donkey (DONKE) 18 131.98 (+2.12)          NDA (NDA) 49999 8.23 (+0.40)          Pamela Anderson (PALEE) 25000 33.87 (-0.25)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 4 274.97 (+0.73)          Dennis (DENIS) 130000 4.93 (-0.11)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 5 153.10 (+0.48)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 149999 7.03 (+2.87)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 16 20.20 (-0.32)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 5 37.04 (-0.14)          Stiletto (STLTO) 1 3.59 (+0.34)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 4889 50.98 (+3.18)          Stiletto (STLTO) 1 3.59 (+0.34)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 5 104.09 (+0.34)          Jamie Bell (JBELL) 25000 22.09 (+0.13)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 14 183.11 (+2.35)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 6 58.63 (-0.27)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 80.70 (+4.86)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 6 58.03 (+0.32)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 6 504.38 (+2.36)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 6770 183.11 (+2.35)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 6 335.20 (+1.50)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 10.17 (+0.15)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 104887 183.11 (+2.35)          Naughty (NAUTY) 40 37.86 (+1.25)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 70 80.70 (+4.86)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 38.90 (+0.21)