HSX Forum

Movies

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses)

Posted by: Rocket123 aka PVL Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on Dec 27, 09:54 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Based on original weekend predictions, I was at 790.5,  with the new numbers, it has come down to 774.85.  Again, still a might number, but not as high as originally thought.  More to follow if you want it.

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


David (DAVID) 25000 74.45 (-1.41)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 60000 41.12 (0.00)          Sheep Detectives aka Three Bags (3BAGF) 14477 35.59 (+0.90)          Buds (BUDS) 10000 30.61 (-0.03)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 30000 17.49 (-0.03)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 2076 4.77 (+0.93)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 45607 48.52 (+0.09)          Sheep Detectives aka Three Bags (3BAGF) 14917 35.59 (+0.90)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 60000 158.77 (+0.49)          How to Make a Killing aka Huntin (HNGTN) 30000 18.06 (-0.01)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.62 (-0.38)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 25.23 (+0.23)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 125000 55.40 (+0.02)          Sheep Detectives aka Three Bags (3BAGF) 72616 35.59 (+0.90)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 20000 442.04 (-2.81)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 1 62.06 (-0.14)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149993 44.44 (+2.29)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149993 44.44 (+2.29)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 149993 14.63 (+1.41)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 149993 14.63 (+1.41)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 60000 39.96 (-0.06)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.02 (+0.04)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.42 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.14 (+0.26)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 113.98 (-2.38)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.58 (-0.13)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 65.01 (+0.69)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 442.04 (-2.81)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.67 (+0.21)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.62 (-0.38)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.65 (-0.35)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 150000 66.57 (-0.25)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.84 (-0.05)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.95 (+0.19)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.32 (+0.07)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.91 (0.00)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 10000 57.59 (+0.28)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 1.04 (0.00)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 10000 57.59 (+0.28)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 23.84 (-0.73)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 10000 25.11 (-0.17)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 14.87 (-0.18)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 1.57 (-0.21)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 14.87 (-0.18)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 5000 44.44 (+2.29)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.25 (+0.30)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.25 (+0.30)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 10000 13.91 (+0.61)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 14.63 (+1.41)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 10000 41.84 (+0.04)