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Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses)

Posted by: Rocket123 aka PVL Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on Dec 27, 09:54 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Based on original weekend predictions, I was at 790.5,  with the new numbers, it has come down to 774.85.  Again, still a might number, but not as high as originally thought.  More to follow if you want it.

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 20.42 (+0.05)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 50000 90.95 (-0.12)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 150000 81.57 (+0.12)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 67.40 (+0.87)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 43.80 (+1.20)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 148.97 (-0.08)          Scream 7 H$40 Call (SCRM7.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 H$40 Call (SCRM7.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 H$40 Put (SCRM7.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 67.81 (-3.06)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 75000 29.97 (+3.98)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 67.81 (-3.06)          Riverrun (RVRUN) 21 2.00 (0.00)          Riverrun (RVRUN) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 - Opening Weekend (SCRM7.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Losing Earth aka The Statement (LERTH) 150000 7.61 (+0.69)          Losing Earth aka The Statement (LERTH) 150000 7.61 (+0.69)          Scream 7 H$40 Put (SCRM7.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 5.44 (+0.71)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 5.44 (+0.71)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 17.67 (+2.46)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5220 293.05 (+0.44)          Scream 7 H$40 Call (SCRM7.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 - Opening Weekend (SCRM7.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 25000 4.69 (-0.88)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 25000 3.27 (-0.84)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 25000 5.44 (+0.71)          Losing Earth aka The Statement (LERTH) 25000 7.61 (+0.69)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 20000 17.67 (+2.46)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD.OW) 100000 4.07 (-0.72)          GOAT (TGOAT) 25000 67.81 (-3.06)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 14.50 (-1.09)          Finding Emily aka CC: Emily (CCEML) 25000 5.60 (-0.60)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 1500 17.36 (+0.24)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 25000 4.69 (-0.88)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 25000 3.27 (-0.84)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 10000 14.50 (-1.09)          Play Dead (PLAYD) 2000 7.68 (-0.01)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 29.97 (+3.98)          Play Dead (PLAYD) 1500 7.68 (-0.01)          GOAT (TGOAT) 25000 67.81 (-3.06)          Scream 7 - Opening Weekend (SCRM7.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 H$40 Call (SCRM7.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 4.69 (-0.88)          Riverrun (RVRUN) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 50000 17.67 (+2.46)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 5000 25.84 (-0.23)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 100000 8.22 (-0.06)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 4.69 (-0.88)          Finding Emily aka CC: Emily (CCEML) 150000 5.60 (-0.60)