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+1 {nm}

Posted by: RamsFan2004 on Dec 27, 19:20 in response to CSBD's post 'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse?

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 1000 26.93 (-0.03)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 149999 120.21 (+0.66)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 292.16 (-0.53)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 17.95 (-0.35)          Primetime (PRMTM) 37000 16.43 (+0.05)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 1000 26.93 (-0.03)          David (DAVID) 150000 76.60 (-0.98)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 25000 48.52 (+0.12)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.56 (-1.83)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1000 16.43 (+0.05)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.64 (-2.58)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.26 (-5.86)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 38000 33.98 (+0.05)          The Young People (TYPEP) 1001 19.11 (0.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 30 201.98 (+0.01)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 10 76.83 (-0.26)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 10000 4.66 (-0.05)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 51.27 (+0.16)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 70 76.83 (-0.26)          Painter (PANTR) 50000 14.31 (-0.08)          Shelter (SELTR) 38000 22.39 (-0.08)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 11.56 (-0.20)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 25 254.19 (+0.45)          Jim Parsons (JPARS) 25000 67.42 (+0.25)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 50000 35.24 (-0.11)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 38000 23.49 (+0.03)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 25000 87.47 (-0.25)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Invite (TINVT) 2000 10.54 (-0.32)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 120000 7.34 (+0.74)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 10000 302.06 (+1.91)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 36000 2.98 (-0.01)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 15.25 (-0.95)          Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 39000 2.98 (-0.01)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 100000 41.26 (-5.86)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.71 (-0.29)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 50000 18.70 (-0.84)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.70 (-0.84)          Hokum (HOKUM) 25000 8.89 (+0.11)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 500 474.62 (+0.16)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.73 (-0.57)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 10.54 (-0.32)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 11.38 (+0.47)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 50000 117.75 (-4.08)