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I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm}

Posted by: DTravel on Aug 25, 12:10 in response to jamesbik333's post 2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.32 (-0.18)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.32 (-0.18)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 40000 26.45 (-0.82)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 100387 359.22 (-1.02)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 40000 16.27 (+1.11)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 137650 4.30 (+0.45)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 46.42 (-0.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 94712 1.78 (-0.22)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 49.52 (+0.11)          The Family Business Fund V (GENES) 20000 98.18 (+0.02)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 38.98 (-0.02)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 75000 41.92 (-0.12)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 90.73 (+0.08)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 100000 110.38 (+2.58)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.82 (-0.41)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 30.35 (-0.06)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 100000 110.38 (+2.58)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 15.23 (+0.07)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.04 (-0.21)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 21.05 (+0.74)          Mercy (MRCY1) 30000 36.43 (-0.92)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 25000 15.17 (+0.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 5000 257.88 (-1.62)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 100000 46.27 (+1.92)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 27.52 (-0.24)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 27.52 (-0.24)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 60436 23.29 (-2.07)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.78 (-0.22)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.24 (-0.76)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 40000 11.26 (-1.13)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 20000 21.05 (+0.74)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 20000 11.26 (-1.13)