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I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm}

Posted by: DTravel on Aug 25, 12:10 in response to jamesbik333's post 2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 10000 59.06 (-0.80)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 3000 23.12 (-0.02)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 100.51 (+0.60)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 59000 38.07 (+0.03)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 16.76 (+0.10)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 75000 63.87 (+1.67)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 30000 13.90 (-0.03)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 23.64 (+0.79)          Jeremy Renner (JRENN) 25000 114.98 (+0.33)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 5000 159.45 (+0.01)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 3000 11.87 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.79 (+0.95)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 3000 12.90 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 5000 179.21 (-0.64)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.22 (+1.12)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 112.21 (+0.40)          Old Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 16.40 (-0.03)          Digger (DIGER) 42600 101.56 (+1.36)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.58 (+0.28)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.56 (+1.36)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.58 (+0.28)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 16.28 (+0.10)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 19900 69.80 (-0.03)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 45.33 (+3.18)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 63.87 (+1.67)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 63.87 (+1.67)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 59000 21.05 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.40 (-0.31)          Wicker (WCKER) 15797 3.72 (-0.09)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.40 (-0.31)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 441.98 (-2.87)          Jennifer Lawrence (JLAWR) 25000 42.05 (+0.16)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 10000 69.80 (-0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 441.98 (-2.87)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 100000 441.98 (-2.87)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.39 (+0.51)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 5000 93.31 (-0.24)          Winter Games (WNTGM) 30000 8.92 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.39 (+0.51)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1 202.33 (+0.50)          The Deb (THDEB) 150000 0.10 (0.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1 202.33 (+0.50)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 5000 136.69 (+0.12)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 113.04 (-3.32)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 1 100.51 (+0.60)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 113.04 (-3.32)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 5000 113.62 (+0.01)