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Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm}

Posted by: VictorY on Aug 26, 09:54 in response to RogerMore's post I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 50000 46.80 (+0.05)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 50000 22.25 (+0.02)          Hercules (HRCUL) 50000 18.92 (+0.02)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 50000 16.89 (+0.02)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 14.03 (+0.85)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 50000 27.87 (+0.03)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 14.03 (+0.85)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 144556 89.32 (+0.33)          Primate (PRIMT) 149999 19.68 (+0.12)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 50000 174.81 (-0.23)          Primate (PRIMT) 150000 19.68 (+0.12)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 159.30 (+0.22)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.82 (-0.02)          Michael (MJACK) 50000 163.03 (-0.11)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.83 (-0.10)          Send Help (SENDH) 50000 35.72 (-0.03)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 50000 70.89 (-0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 50000 64.95 (-0.24)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 5444 89.32 (+0.33)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 444 10.18 (+0.66)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.87 (-0.06)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.78 (-0.22)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.84 (-0.81)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 4 41.44 (+0.86)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 32323 41.44 (+0.86)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 9899 41.44 (+0.86)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 150000 124.77 (+0.33)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 25000 67.17 (-0.02)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 9 5.92 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 13 300.58 (0.00)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 3.91 (0.00)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 3 64.40 (-0.82)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 34478 64.40 (-0.82)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 52964 42.77 (-0.64)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 52964 42.77 (-0.64)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.93 (+0.21)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.93 (+0.21)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 111.74 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.45 (+0.01)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.99 (+0.61)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.99 (+0.61)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.18 (+0.66)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.18 (+0.66)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 149999 3.93 (+0.21)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.93 (+0.21)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.84 (-0.81)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 149999 6.63 (+0.22)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.63 (+0.22)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.84 (-0.81)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 23.08 (-0.73)