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Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm}

Posted by: VictorY on Aug 26, 09:54 in response to RogerMore's post I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 81659 420.06 (+5.04)          42.6 Years (426YR) 10000 10.29 (+0.90)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 35000 38.45 (-0.86)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 1.68 (-0.03)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 47000 420.06 (+5.04)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 3.96 (+0.03)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 50.34 (+1.20)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 17.59 (+0.12)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.47 (-0.12)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.65 (+0.04)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 11.44 (+0.19)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.35 (-0.22)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 50000 19.72 (+0.04)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 3.54 (+0.43)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 78.72 (+1.39)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 9.88 (-2.64)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 233.04 (-1.87)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 150000 0.24 (+0.02)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 14.97 (-1.42)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 25000 57.80 (+0.02)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.88 (-0.34)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 139.17 (-3.52)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 149999 18.59 (-0.83)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.44 (-2.75)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 20000 139.17 (-3.52)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.44 (-2.75)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 24.53 (-0.19)          Sing 3 (SING3) 45000 54.12 (+1.43)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.44 (-2.75)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.44 (-2.75)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 150000 10.45 (+0.40)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.44 (-2.75)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.44 (-2.75)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 13.44 (-2.75)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 5.25 (+0.62)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 5.25 (+0.62)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.32 (+0.31)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.28 (-2.07)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.32 (+0.31)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 150000 10.45 (+0.40)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 50.34 (+1.20)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 150000 10.45 (+0.40)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.29 (+0.90)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.29 (+0.90)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 50.34 (+1.20)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 50.34 (+1.20)