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adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm}

Posted by: Moviesnob on Aug 25, 10:50 in response to RogerMore's post Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 149999 14.88 (-0.17)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 100000 9.15 (-0.10)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 100000 28.55 (-0.13)          Airman (AIRMA) 100000 23.47 (-0.04)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 41.64 (-0.16)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 127.07 (-0.19)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.53 (-0.47)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 41.64 (-0.16)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 127.07 (-0.19)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.26 (-0.07)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.30 (-0.70)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.47 (-0.96)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 25000 108.56 (+0.66)          Robotech (RTECH) 1 6.24 (-0.05)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 33.53 (-0.37)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 26.38 (+0.25)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 251.27 (-1.84)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 45.27 (+3.12)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.26 (-0.07)          The Choral (CHORL) 7 2.81 (-0.06)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 1.75 (+0.05)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.47 (-0.96)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 25000 108.56 (+0.66)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.50 (+0.46)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 1000 218.18 (-1.15)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.22 (+1.02)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 33.53 (-0.37)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.22 (+1.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 100 65.03 (+0.71)          Empire City (EMPCT) 5 18.35 (-0.06)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 1 9.15 (-0.10)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 1 10.62 (-0.07)          Above The Below (ABELW) 1 6.17 (-0.08)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 1 15.00 (0.00)          Normal (NORML) 149993 20.10 (-0.19)          Normal (NORML) 149995 20.10 (-0.19)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.22 (+1.02)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 1 4.69 (-0.09)          Peaked (PEAKD) 149999 9.28 (+1.18)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 1 1.83 (-0.02)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 1 1.83 (-0.02)