HSX Forum

Movies

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one

Posted by: Moviesnob on Aug 25, 10:15 in response to Moviesnob's post i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty....

2019: ENDGAME, STAR WARS, LIONG KING, FROZEN 2, TOY STORY 4, CAPTAIN MARVEL

2020: WONDER WOMAN 1984

Also, right now, Disney has ONE non-Fox title in 2020 Q4 - ENTERNALS. Thats has to change, right?

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 36.97 (-0.41)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 36.97 (-0.41)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.74 (-0.26)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 149999 13.77 (+0.47)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 10000 4.67 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 36.97 (-0.41)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 149999 7.88 (+0.37)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.88 (+0.37)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 36.97 (-0.41)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 10000 24.78 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 149999 13.77 (+0.47)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 36.97 (-0.41)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 149998 8.92 (-0.15)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.77 (+0.47)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 36.97 (-0.41)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 13.00 (-0.24)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 20000 9.84 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 36.97 (-0.41)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 13.00 (-0.24)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 8.92 (-0.15)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 10000 12.44 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 36.97 (-0.41)          David (DAVID) 1 75.32 (-0.54)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1000 138.89 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 2000 138.89 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.56 (-0.19)          Play Dead (PLAYD) 10000 8.23 (0.00)          The Riders (RIDER) 10000 32.97 (-0.01)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 2000 14.76 (0.00)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 10000 28.68 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 149999 9.74 (-0.26)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149999 42.98 (+0.83)          Tangled (TANGL) 5000 87.37 (+0.01)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 61.60 (-0.60)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 10000 15.58 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 10000 10.05 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 10000 6.14 (0.00)          Talk 2 Me aka Talk to Me 2 (TLKT2) 10000 8.09 (0.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.56 (-0.19)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 20000 22.75 (-0.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.56 (-0.19)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 2000 22.75 (-0.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 5000 2.89 (0.00)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.88 (+0.37)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.42 (+0.58)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.88 (+0.37)