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Isn't that illegal now? {nm}

Posted by: DTravel on Aug 25, 12:12 in response to professor zovek's post if only there were a way to take some chances on other...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 60000 26.29 (-0.98)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.29 (-0.98)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 1565 2.39 (+0.50)          Audition (AUDTN) 121477 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 20000 306.15 (-1.03)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 33 110.38 (+2.58)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.08 (+1.37)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 178 20.92 (-0.85)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.08 (+1.37)          A House of Dynamite (AHODN) 150000 0.13 (+0.02)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.32 (-0.18)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.32 (-0.18)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 40000 26.29 (-0.98)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 100387 359.22 (-1.02)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 40000 16.27 (+1.11)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 137650 4.30 (+0.45)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 46.42 (-0.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 94712 1.78 (-0.22)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 49.52 (+0.11)          The Family Business Fund V (GENES) 20000 98.18 (+0.02)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 38.98 (-0.02)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 75000 41.92 (-0.12)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 90.73 (+0.08)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 100000 110.38 (+2.58)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.82 (-0.41)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 30.35 (-0.06)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 100000 110.38 (+2.58)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 15.23 (+0.07)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.04 (-0.21)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 21.05 (+0.74)          Mercy (MRCY1) 30000 36.43 (-0.92)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 25000 15.17 (+0.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 5000 257.88 (-1.62)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 100000 46.27 (+1.92)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 27.52 (-0.24)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 27.52 (-0.24)