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Movies

only if you work for Disney {nm}

Posted by: RazorHawk on Aug 25, 14:37 in response to DTravel's post Isn't that illegal now?

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm} LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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Migration (MIGRT) 150000 86.04 (+3.42)          Justin Long (JLONG) 25000 8.89 (-5.55)          American Fiction (ERASU) 150000 10.15 (-0.02)          Untitled Alien Movie Event (ALIE5) 26866 48.45 (+0.41)          American Fiction (ERASU) 150000 10.15 (-0.02)          American Star (AMSTA) 3 2.00 (0.00)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 57.45 (-0.05)          Nia DaCosta (NDACO) 25000 47.36 (+0.50)          Five Nights at Freddy's $135M Bl (5NAFD.BW) 25000 9.65 (-0.16)          Alexander Payne (ALPAY) 25000 27.96 (+0.49)          Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (AQUM2) 150000 156.83 (-1.61)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 150000 45.81 (+2.13)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 150000 14.01 (+2.07)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 149999 14.01 (+2.07)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 149999 14.01 (+2.07)          Borderline (BRLIN) 150000 13.60 (-0.03)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 261.45 (-0.81)          Nonnas (NONAS) 150000 15.85 (+0.85)          Celeste O’Connor (COCON) 25000 65.00 (0.00)          Postcards from Earth (PCFER) 150000 3.17 (+0.94)          Wonka (WONKA) 150000 157.82 (-1.06)          Poor Things (PRTHN) 150000 18.07 (-1.35)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 150000 3.07 (-0.91)          Love Me (LOVME) 150000 3.20 (+0.03)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 150000 45.81 (+2.13)          NBC: Extended Family (EXTFAM) 25000 11.20 (+0.35)          American Star (AMSTA) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Zawe Ashton (ZASHT) 25000 25.95 (+0.70)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 150000 45.81 (+2.13)          Christine (CRSTN) 149999 47.92 (-0.59)          Celeste O’Connor (COCON) 20000 65.00 (0.00)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 150000 45.81 (+2.13)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 150000 14.01 (+2.07)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 47.92 (-0.59)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 8641 258.66 (-1.00)          Zawe Ashton (ZASHT) 24999 25.95 (+0.70)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 25000 54.26 (0.00)          Nonnas (NONAS) 150000 15.85 (+0.85)          Nonnas (NONAS) 150000 15.85 (+0.85)          Nonnas (NONAS) 50000 15.85 (+0.85)          Paul King (PKING) 25000 92.22 (+0.25)          Teyonah Parris (TPARR) 24999 35.49 (-0.86)          Parachute (PRCHU) 150000 0.46 (+0.01)          Parachute (PRCHU) 150000 0.46 (+0.01)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 150000 14.01 (+2.07)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 150000 14.01 (+2.07)          Justin Long (JLONG) 25000 8.89 (-5.55)          American Star (AMSTA) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 27594 272.24 (-0.13)          Nonnas (NONAS) 150000 15.85 (+0.85)