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...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm}

Posted by: LaForza on Aug 25, 21:08 in response to Catzan's post Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 15 6.67 (+0.01)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 150000 4.72 (-0.07)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 150000 4.72 (-0.07)          Robert De Niro (RDENI) 25000 20.83 (+0.25)          Magazine Dreams (MAGZN) 150000 2.01 (-0.12)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 163.77 (-3.36)          Tangled (TANGL) 25000 103.65 (+3.65)          Scandalous (SCAND) 100000 9.23 (+1.45)          Scandalous (SCAND) 149999 9.23 (+1.45)          Bear Country (BEARC) 50000 9.28 (+0.32)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 150000 8.92 (+0.11)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 25000 35.56 (-0.13)          Bear Country (BEARC) 50000 9.28 (+0.32)          Being Maria (BMARI) 150000 0.75 (+0.01)          Kerry Washington (KWASH) 100 70.00 (0.00)          Being Maria (BMARI) 50000 0.75 (+0.01)          Kerry Washington (KWASH) 100 70.00 (0.00)          Bear Country (BEARC) 50000 9.28 (+0.32)          Bear Country (BEARC) 50000 9.28 (+0.32)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 11000 68.99 (0.00)          Bear Country (BEARC) 50000 9.28 (+0.32)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 150000 20.43 (+0.43)          Bear Country (BEARC) 50000 9.28 (+0.32)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 15000 63.17 (-0.07)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 15000 28.93 (-0.17)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 10000 63.17 (-0.07)          Maserati: The Brothers (MASER) 35000 5.70 (-0.02)          Maserati: The Brothers (MASER) 90000 5.70 (-0.02)          Emily the Strange (EMILY) 15000 27.58 (-0.03)          Emily the Strange (EMILY) 90000 27.58 (-0.03)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 50000 20.28 (+0.15)          Insidious 6 (NSID6) 50000 31.32 (-0.19)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 163.77 (-3.36)          Julian Dennison (JDENN) 10000 102.68 (+0.80)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 50000 20.28 (+0.15)          Bear Country (BEARC) 3000 9.28 (+0.32)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 55000 68.95 (-0.82)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 50000 20.28 (+0.15)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 50000 20.28 (+0.15)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 20000 40.76 (-0.85)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 68000 40.76 (-0.85)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 50000 163.77 (-3.36)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 50000 20.28 (+0.15)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 15000 108.20 (-1.01)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 50000 20.28 (+0.15)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 59999 9.57 (-1.04)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 50000 20.28 (+0.15)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 120000 9.57 (-1.04)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 15000 86.43 (-1.99)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 250 163.77 (-3.36)