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...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm}

Posted by: LaForza on Aug 25, 21:08 in response to Catzan's post Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 25000 157.91 (+0.36)          Dominic Sessa (DSESS) 200 26.05 (0.00)          Christopher Walken (CWALK) 20000 52.83 (+0.13)          The Last Photograph aka Horse La (LPHOT) 99999 1.55 (-0.01)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 10000 33.84 (+0.60)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 5.82 (+0.41)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 5.82 (+0.41)          Lizzy Caplan (LCAPL) 25000 38.64 (+0.50)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 10000 212.09 (+2.54)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 37000 15.15 (+1.35)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 25000 117.62 (-3.39)          David Thewlis (DTHEW) 25000 83.70 (+0.25)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 24.32 (+0.20)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 24.32 (+0.20)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 18.69 (+1.21)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 18.69 (+1.21)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 1736 10.70 (-0.23)          Dead of Winter (TDWNT) 150000 1.69 (+0.04)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.42 (+0.61)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.42 (+0.61)          Chris Evans (CEVAN) 20000 95.98 (+0.20)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 1643 16.44 (-0.16)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 3309 127.68 (-1.49)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 10000 10.70 (-0.23)          Luke Evans (LUEVA) 20000 23.59 (+0.10)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 7217 298.17 (-2.05)          Jayme Lawson (JLAWS) 25000 84.34 (-0.75)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 2888 324.12 (-1.40)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 24.76 (+0.50)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 2070 7.59 (-0.01)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 212.09 (+2.54)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 7 23.35 (-0.15)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 25000 128.52 (0.00)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 8 23.35 (-0.15)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 440 2.68 (0.00)          The Choral (CHORL) 700 2.93 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 50987 117.62 (-3.39)          Empire City (EMPCT) 118509 18.90 (+0.04)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 50987 117.62 (-3.39)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 6 82.58 (-0.33)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 15 71.53 (-0.95)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 25 71.53 (-0.95)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 135 17.16 (-0.16)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 13.79 (+0.12)          Isla Fisher (IFISH) 25000 30.80 (+0.24)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 3 459.45 (+0.52)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 15.15 (+1.35)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 700 15.15 (+1.35)          Vanessa Kirby (VKIRB) 2000 100.43 (-0.36)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 109 15.15 (+1.35)