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...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. {nm}

Posted by: LaForza on Aug 25, 21:08 in response to Catzan's post Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019...

Looking at annual numbers between 2017, 2018, 2019. 2019 should beat 2017 and using straight comparisons may beat 2018. Catzan Aug 25, 09:59

i just did my first forecast for 2020 and its not pretty. It's pretty rough because its filled with placeholders but its 9 points down v '19 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:09

to your point (no SW, no Avengers) i have 6 titles that gross over $400m domestic in the 2019 calendar. 2020, I have one Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:15

Not just no Avengers/Star Wars. 2020 Disney remakes are Mulan and that's it, while the Iger retirement year had Lion King, Aladdin, Dumbo RogerMore Aug 25, 10:29

adding RAYA into 2020 gets my forecast to 7.5% down for 2020 v 2019 {nm} Moviesnob Aug 25, 10:50

if only there were a way to take some chances on other non-IP projects to pick up the potential slack {nm} professor zovek Aug 25, 10:55

Isn't that illegal now? {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:12

only if you work for Disney {nm} RazorHawk Aug 25, 14:37

Which immediately brings to mind 'Demolition Man' and Taco Bell.... {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 18:30

2020 will have endless this is the end for movie theaters click bait articles. VictorY will be losing his mind. jamesbik333 Aug 25, 11:07

I'm not worried about VictorY. He wouldn't be able to keep losing his mind so much if he was very good at finding it again afterwards. {nm} DTravel Aug 25, 12:10

...and to think I know people who had 2019 at 20+% over 2018, if not higher...so underwhelming. LaForza Aug 25, 21:08

I think that's more a reflection of the predictors than the box office. Coming into 2019 the summer looked stacked, and that incentivised RogerMore Aug 26, 07:20

Good stuff. RM. I just posted my take also and agree with many of your points. {nm} VictorY Aug 26, 09:54





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The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 30.13 (+0.05)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 113.49 (-0.38)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 1 6.80 (+2.64)          The Uprising (THOOD) 149999 9.56 (+0.08)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.80 (+2.64)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 14.72 (+0.12)          The Uprising (THOOD) 149999 9.56 (+0.08)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 14.72 (+0.12)          Donkey (DONKE) 900 131.31 (+1.45)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 4000 102.33 (+1.22)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.62 (+0.62)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 115.29 (+2.07)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 17.00 (+0.64)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 10000 74.18 (+2.40)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 10.58 (+0.56)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 26.02 (-0.10)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 16.54 (+0.15)          The Musical (MSCAL) 75000 1.00 (0.00)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 10000 43.64 (-0.05)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 63.88 (+0.10)          Company (COMPN) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 37.50 (+0.03)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 26.08 (-0.05)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 14.23 (-0.42)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 14.23 (-0.42)          Company (COMPN) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.02 (-1.18)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 10000 35.95 (-0.34)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 10000 35.95 (-0.34)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 50000 555.39 (+1.28)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 5000 71.69 (-0.26)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 5000 12.71 (-0.26)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 10000 28.07 (-0.24)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 56.07 (+1.10)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 10000 5.24 (-0.55)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 10000 5.24 (-0.55)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.02 (-1.18)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 1 504.38 (+2.36)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 77.20 (-0.58)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 77.20 (-0.58)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 150000 48.35 (+0.15)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 10000 13.65 (-0.47)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 10000 13.65 (-0.47)